The political movement founded by the late President Hugo Chávez is facing significant challenges ahead of the 28 July presidential election in Venezuela. Opinion polls indicate that most voters are seeking change, posing a threat to Nicolás Maduro’s government, according to an analysis by the International Crisis Group. The opposition has unified behind a single candidate, Edmundo González, after the primary winner Maria Corina Machado was barred from running, contrasting with their previous strategies of denouncing fraud and boycotting elections. Chavismo, the political movement, shows internal complexities as it tries to retain power, which may lead to increased authoritarian measures. The movement consists of various factions with differing views on democracy, impacting their election strategies and response to potential defeat. Historically, Chavismo united diverse groups but has seen declining support due to Venezuela’s economic collapse. Leaders within Chavismo claim a commitment to democratic principles but emphasize the necessity of staying in power to achieve their goals. Criticism arises as leaders accumulate wealth while the majority of Venezuelans face poverty. The fear of losing power and facing potential persecution drives the movement’s cohesion, especially with hardline opposition figures like Maria Corina Machado. Mid- and higher-ranking officials within the government show varying levels of optimism about the election, with grassroots activists feeling pessimistic due to widespread disillusionment. Top leaders are aware of declining support but hope to win if abstention is high and the opposition vote remains divided, employing strategies to appeal to a broader audience and negotiate fairer electoral conditions. Facing a potential loss, the government has reverted to confrontational tactics, evoking Chávez’s legacy and accusing the opposition of being traitors. The Maduro government’s acceptance of an opposition victory is uncertain. They may resort to measures ensuring high abstention and disqualification of strong candidates to secure a victory, aiming for election legitimacy to have sanctions lifted. Original Text by Demian, published in-> msnnews
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¿Qué hará Cuba el 28 de julio?